Tuesday, August 12, 2014

Sandler shares 2014 Primary Memo

Decider Strategies CEO Stu Sandler shares his thoughts on the competitive Republican Congressional races in the August 5, 2014 Michigan primary.

To read the memo, please go to following link:
http://www.scribd.com/doc/236571639/2014-Primary-Memo-8-12-14

Monday, June 30, 2014

Internal Poll shows Dave Trott up 14 Points in 11th Congressional District


National Research Inc. recently conducted a survey of 400 likely Republican primary voters in Michigan’s 11th Congressional District from June 23 to June 24, 2014.  All responses were conducted through live interviews.   The margin of error for this survey +/- 4.9%   The following is a summary of the important information from the survey:

1.    Dave Trott leads Kerry Bentivolio, 33%-19%
Dave Trott leads the ballot test with Bentivolio by 14 points.  Voters are responding  favorably to Trott, as witnessed by the fact that Dave has steadily improved in the ballot test in the 4 internal polls the campaign has taken.

Bentivolio’s 19% ballot score is a devastating place for an incumbent to be testing. While 47% of those tested were undecided, Bentivolio will have a very difficult time trying to persuade them to support him as the incumbent. 

2.    When including those voters who lean toward one candidate or the other, Trott leads 39% to 21% for Bentivolio.

When including voters who lean toward either candidate, Trott’s lead widens to hold a commanding 18 point lead.   An additional 8% of voters make a decision with Trott’s ballot improving to 39% and Bentivolio’s ballot improving to 21%.

3.    Dave Trott’s favorable/unfavorable is nearly 2:1 (30% fav-16% unfav), while Bentivolio’s favorable/unfavorable is nearly 1:1 (28% fav-25% unfav).   

Trott’s favorable/unfavorable rating is nearly 2 to 1 at 30% favorable to 16% unfavorable.   Bentivolio’s favorable/unfavorable rating is 28% favorable/25% unfavorable. 


4.    Dave Trott’s ballot position has improved steadily over time.

As the campaign has progressed, Dave Trott’s ballot position has significantly improved.  Bentivolio has always had incredibly low numbers for an incumbent member of Congress.   But the more voters learn about Bentivolio and Trott, the more they support Trott and the less they support Bentivolio.  Four polls conducted over the last year show considerable improvement by Trott and declining support for Bentivolio.

Ballot
6/6/13
5/1/14
5/22/14
6/24/14
Trott
8
21
22
33
Bentivolio
29
30
23
19


Dave Trott has built a strong lead with voters and is in a strong position with less than 40 days before the primary.   


Adam Geller is the pollster for the Dave Trott for Congress campaign and CEO of National Research Inc.  Adam Geller is tremendously respected as a pollster with past and current clients including Rep. Tim Walberg, US Senator Pat Toomey, Club for Growth, U.S. Chamber of Commerce, and New Jersey Governor Chris Christie.  In his 538 blog, Nate Silver cited Adam Geller’s survey research in North Carolina as among the most accurate of Republican polls in the 2012 cycle.











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Wednesday, October 23, 2013

SecretiveSchauer.Com Website Released


SecretiveSchauer.Com Website Released
Will Schauer Reveal Donors and Expenses
for Schauer Community Fund and Blue Green Alliance?

Ann Arbor, MI—Stu Sandler, CEO of Decider Strategies, unveiled SecretiveSchauer.com , a website dedicated to Mark Schauer’s secretive nonprofits and his unwillingness and inability to produce contributors and expenses for the Schauer Community Fund and the Blue Green Alliance.

“Mark Schauer is a hypocrite who calls for transparency for everyone but himself.  For the last several years, Schauer has been funded by nonprofits to the point where even his hometown paper was writing about him  as ‘Senator Slushfund.’”, said Sandler.  “Schauer has no credibility when it comes to this issue.  Schauer has been taking undisclosed money and perks and cannot tell anyone what he has received or spent.  Schauer is either incompetent or a hypocrite or both.”

In the October 23 Detroit Free Press article “Snyder Challenger Mark Schauer Had Nonprofit Fund as a State Lawmaker”, it was reported that Schauer failed to disclose 11 of 12 reports of contributors and expenses for the Schauer Community Fund over the past several years.  The fund reported incomplete payments for such things as  events, meals and gift baskets, although many years did not have any public reporting at all. It is unknown what else this fund paid for.  The Schuaer Community Fund was registered with the IRS at Schauer’s personal residence with Schauer’s wife listed as the registered agent according to the IRS. 

Additionally, Schauer has also failed to respond to challenges asking Schauer to list contributors who have paid his Blue Green Alliance salary since 2011 and all expenses paid for by the Blue Green Alliance benefiting Mark Schauer.

“Mark Schauer should stop being so secretive and come clean about his own slush funds,” stated Sandler.  “Like Bob Ficano, Schauer cannot argue he didn’t know. Schauer was either incompetent or unethical or both.”

The website can be viewed at www.secretiveschauer.com

Sunday, September 29, 2013

Roll Call Reports Dave Trott for Congress Hires Decider Strategies


Roll Call:  "Attorney David Trott announced his primary challenge to Rep. Kerry Bentivolio, R-Mich., last week, and now he’s assembled a top team to help him oust the vulnerable freshman.

Stu Sandler confirmed to CQ Roll Call that he will serve as the deep-pocketed attorney’s general consultant. Sandler has worked for several statewide candidates and organizations in Michigan."

To read more, go to:  http://www.rollcall.com/news/bentivolio_primary_opponent_hires_top_team-227467-1.html


ICYMI: The Hill Reports on Decider Strategies Gongwer Mackinac Straw Poll

The HIll:  Sen. Rand Paul wins second 2016 straw poll


Rand Paul leads the pack of other potential GOP candidates in the 2016 race for president, according to the Mackinac straw poll conducted in Michigan over the weekend. 

It’s the second presidential straw poll Paul has won this year. 
Out of 526 people, 188 voted for Paul, giving him 36 percent of the vote. Gongwer News Service and Decider Strategies conducted the unofficial poll at the Mackinac conference over the weekend. 
New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie, another party favorite with high approval ratings, came in second place, winning 16 percent of the vote. 

Read more: http://thehill.com/blogs/blog-briefing-room/news/323887-rand-paul-wins-second-presidential-straw-poll#ixzz2gKWqkt00 

Sunday, September 22, 2013

Rand Paul wins 2016 Mackinac Presidential Straw Poll; Brian Calley Runs Away with Lt. Gov Straw Poll



Mackinac Island, MI—Gongwer News Service and Decider Strategies announced that Rand Paul won the 2016 Presidential straw poll and Brian Calley won the 2014 Lt. Governor straw poll decidedly. 

With 526 conference attendees voting in the Presidential straw poll, Rand Paul won the 2016 Presidential straw poll vote with 188 votes (36%); Chris Christie received 82 votes (16%).   

With 501 conference attendees voting in the LG race, Calley won the LG straw poll vote with a resounding 432 votes (86%) to 69 votes for Wes Nakagiri (14%). 

 “Lieutenant Governor Calley’s decisive win should hearten his backers as he looks to ward off a serious threat to renomination,” Gongwer Editor Zach Gorchow said. “His team had a strong presence on the Island and delivered a landslide for him. For Wes Nakagiri, he is just starting his campaign and was not able to bring enough supporters to top Calley.”

“The Mackinac conference attendees picked very clear winners. In the Lt. Governor race, Brian Calley won by a resounding margin. It’s good news for Brian Calley.  Many of these conference attendees will be at the state convention as voting delegates,” stated Sandler.  “In the presidential, Rand Paul won by a solid margin.”

Sandler said Paul’s victory shows he is building early support with various coalitions within the party. “It’s early in the game, but he’s off to a promising start,” Sandler said.  

The breakdown of the presidential:  526 total votes were cast.                    Rand Paul 188 (36%); Chris Christie 82 (16%); Jeb Bush 42 (8%); Scott Walker 39 (7%);  Ted Cruz 36 (7%). Others receiving votes included:  Nikki Haley 8; Bobby Jindal 7; John Kasich 4; Susanna Martinez 5; Sarah Palin 13; Mike Pence 8; Rick Perry 9; Robert Portman 5; Marco Rubio 25; Paul Ryan 23; Rick Santorum 8; Tim Scott 0; John Thune 12;.  Write-in:  Rick Snyder 8; Ron Paul 2; Michelle Bachmann 1; Allen West 1. 

The breakdown of the LG vote:  501 total votes were cast.  Brian Calley 432 votes (86%); Wes Nakagiri 69 votes (14%). 

In the Presidential race, Rand Paul joins Mitt Romney in 2011, Rick Snyder in 2009, and Mitt Romney in 2007 as winners of Mackinac straw polls.

The Straw Poll is not an official event or activity of the Mackinac Conference, and is in no way affiliated with or connected to the Mackinac Conference.  Gongwer News Service and Decider Strategies are the exclusive sponsors of the Straw Poll.  No other person, including without limitation, the Mackinac Conference and its sponsors, the Michigan Republican Party, or any candidate, has sponsored, financed, or is in any way connected with, the Straw Poll.

Friday, March 8, 2013

Stu Sandler Discusses Michigan US Senate 2014 Race and Levin retirement in Detroit Free Press

Decider Strategies CEO Stu Sandler discussed the US Senate Race in the Detroit Free Press:

GOP insiders pointed to members of the state’s congressional delegation, including U.S. Reps. Candice Miller of Harrison Township; Mike Rogers of Brighton; Dave Camp of Midland; Fred Upton of St. Joseph; and Justin Amash of Cascade Township, as potential candidates.

 Other names mentioned by Republicans include Lt. Gov. Brian Calley; Attorney General Bill Schuette; former Gov. John Engler; metro Detroit charter school founder Clark Durant, who sought the U.S. Senate nomination in 2010, and west Michigan billionaire Dick DeVos, who was the GOP candidate for governor in 2006. State Sen. Roger Kahn, R-Saginaw Township, chairman of the Senate Appropriations Committee, has expressed interest, as well.

Republican consultant Stu Sandler described the Levin retirement as “a once in a 30-year opportunity.” He noted 2014 will be a non-presidential year and said he expects the GOP will have “a very strong ticket” headed by Gov. Rick Snyder. To read the entire article, go to:

http://www.freep.com/article/20130307/NEWS15/130307103/1008/news06/Who-will-fill-Levin-s-seat-Rare-Senate-opening-draw-frenzied-field